Third Heat Wave Approaches Poland; Warsaw May Hit 40°C

19 July 2026 Poland Radar 0 Comments

ECMWF warns of a strong heat wave in Poland on August 1, with Warsaw possibly reaching 40°C. Prepare, monitor updates and protect vulnerable people.

The European model ECMWF now signals a possible third major heat wave in Poland this summer. Consequently, forecasts show temperatures around 40°C in central areas on August 1.

Table of Contents

Heat wave in Poland: ECMWF forecast and what models show

ECMWF, one of the world’s leading models, projects extreme heat for early August. Moreover, the model suggests temperatures could exceed 40°C around midday in central Poland. In addition, some local peaks may reach 41– 42°C. However, the Baltic coast should stay cooler, near 25–28°C. The American GFS model shows a similar pattern. Therefore, GFS predicts the highest heat in central, southern and eastern regions. Consequently, the Podkarpackie area could see 38–39°C on the same day.

Why forecast caution matters and what to watch

Long-range models offer a trend rather than exact values. However, forecasts made weeks ahead can change significantly. For example, GFS once predicted 41°C for mid-July, but reality proved milder. Therefore, treat early results as possible outcomes, not certainties. In addition, updates from ECMWF and GFS usually converge as the date nears. Consequently, check new model runs in the days before August 1. Moreover, national weather services will issue official heat warnings.

Practical tips for residents and visitors

Prepare now, but avoid canceling plans prematurely. However, plan outdoor activities for early morning or late evening. In addition, limit exertion between 11:00 and 17:00. Drink water regularly and use electrolyte drinks when you sweat heavily. Moreover, avoid alcohol and heavy meals during peak heat. Use light clothing and hats to reduce sun exposure. If you suffer chronic illness or take diuretics, consult your doctor early. In addition, know emergency contacts: call 112 for urgent help. Visit an NFZ clinic for public care (NFZ = National Health Fund). Remember that social support and benefits come from ZUS (Social Insurance Institution). For official ID and registrations, Poland uses PESEL (national number). Also, authorities can issue a fine (mandat) for endangering others, including leaving children or pets in hot cars.

💡 GOOD TO KNOW: If you need medical help, dial 112 immediately. Moreover, public healthcare works through the NFZ (National Health Fund). In addition, EU travellers should bring an EHIC/GHIC or travel insurance. For benefits and pensions contact ZUS (Social Insurance Institution). Also, your PESEL number helps in medical registration and administrative procedures. Finally, Polish police can give a mandat (fine) for dangerous behaviour, such as leaving vulnerable people in a hot car.

If forecasts hold, protect vulnerable people first. Moreover, check on elderly neighbours and children. In addition, avoid long car waits and ventilate living spaces at night. Use cooling strategies like damp towels or cool showers. However, avoid sudden exposure to very cold air conditioning from overcooling. Therefore, cool gradually and keep hydrated.

Watch official weather services and model updates closely. Moreover, plan events and transport with flexibility. In addition, keep medication cool and accessible. Finally, act early if extreme temperatures are confirmed to reduce health risks.

Source: Read original article

📚 Looking for more help settling in Poland? Browse our complete Expat Guides.