IMGW pinpoints hottest week in Warsaw: July 13-19
IMGW forecasts a Warsaw heatwave from July 13-19 with daily highs around 30°C. Plan outdoor activities and take heat precautions.
The national weather service has narrowed down when the Warsaw heatwave will arrive. Consequently, IMGW-PIB points to July 13-19 as the hottest week, with daily highs near 30°C.
How the forecast was made
IMGW-PIB released a map based on the ECMWF long-range model. Moreover, the map shows weekly averages of daily maximum temperatures. Therefore meteorologists compare four weekly maps for July. The first full week, July 6-12, will feel noticeably cooler. In addition, coastal cities like Gdańsk should see highs near 20°C. Central Poland will enjoy 23-24°C. However that respite will end quickly.
When the Warsaw heatwave will hit: 13-19 July
The model predicts a strong warm air mass from the Mediterranean or North Africa. Consequently, much of Poland will see a sustained heat spell between July 13 and 19. In Lower Silesia and Greater Poland, weekly mean daily highs may reach 30-31°C. In central Poland, cities such as Łódź and Warsaw should average about 30°C. The east will be slightly cooler, near 29°C. Importantly, these numbers represent an average of seven days. Therefore this is a week-long pattern, not a one-day spike.
What follows later in July
After the peak, temperatures should fall moderately. From July 20 to 31, expect highs around 25-28°C. However the month will stay warmer than average. Consequently people with heat sensitivity should remain cautious. Meteorological predictions will likely change. In addition, ECMWF updates daily, which improves accuracy near the date.
Why this matters to newcomers. First, heat affects daily life and logistics. For example, public transport can suffer delays. In addition, construction or manual work may require schedule changes. Second, health systems such as NFZ can see higher demand. Therefore register with a GP early. Third, a prolonged hot spell raises electricity use. Consequently buildings without air conditioning may heat up fast. For long trips, book accommodation with cooling options.
Practical tips for the week of July 13-19. Start planning now. Buy sun blinds or a fan. Drink water often and avoid intense exercise midday. Moreover, move strenuous chores to morning or evening. Check forecasts daily as the date approaches. Finally, keep flexible plans for outdoor events and be ready to shift them to cooler days.
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