US and Israel hit Iran — Iran strikes back across region
A coordinated US–Israeli attack on Iran on 28 February 2026 triggered widespread Iranian rocket and drone reprisals across the Middle East, raising the risk of broader conflict, energy-market shocks and travel disruptions for expatriates.
United States and Israel carried out coordinated strikes on targets inside Iran on Saturday 28 February 2026, prompting a series of retaliatory actions commonly described as Iran strikes that extended beyond Israel to American bases and sites across the region. The exchange marks a sharp escalation in a conflict that has been simmering for years and has immediate implications for global energy markets, security in neighbouring states and international travel.
What happened — immediate facts
According to international and regional reports, the initial operation targeted Iranian military and logistical sites believed to be linked to missile and drone programmes. Tehran responded within hours with a sustained campaign that included ballistic missiles and armed drones directed at Israel, US positions in Iraq and Syria, and — reportedly — assets in Lebanon and Yemen that Iran-backed groups use. Several times the exchanges set off air-raid sirens in Israeli cities and produced warnings for coalition personnel at bases in the region. Casualty and damage tallies remain fluid as assessments continue.
Why this matters beyond the battlefield
For expatriates and international observers the significance is threefold. First, a regionalising conflict risks disrupting shipping through the Strait of Hormuz and adjacent sea lanes, pushing up energy prices and increasing volatility in European gas and oil markets. Second, military engagements near or inside third countries can produce collateral damage, refugee flows or cross-border incidents — elevating risk in states that are otherwise considered stable. Third, higher insurance premiums for shipping and potential rerouting of flights can cause logistical headaches and economic effects far from the front lines.
Diplomacy, escalation risks and possible outcomes
Western capitals have described the strikes as proportionate responses to earlier Iranian-sponsored attacks, while Tehran framed its reprisals as deterrence. The key variables now are whether Iran limits its campaign to demonstrative strikes or mobilises proxy forces for sustained assaults, and how the United States, Israel and regional players respond. A cycle of tit-for-tat attacks could draw in additional actors, including non-state militias in Iraq and Lebanon, risking a multi-front confrontation that would be harder to contain.
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